Monthly Archives: October 2008

Friday Links.

This week was great for aviation news. There are quite a few topics / news headlines that have been covered in the past week and I think you should read some of these stories:

- CrankyFlier’s Brett Snyder talks about the TSA and how they may be ditching the liquid ban in the near future.

- The Washington Post has a great article about the Department of Homeland Security, and how they will take over responsibility for checking airline passenger names against government watch lists in January. New information will have to be provided at check in. 

- JetWhine’s Robert Market writes about how the FAA solved / is solving the Air Traffic Controller staffing crisis.

Boeing: 2008 Third Quarter Report.

Yesterday, Boeing reported their third-quarter information. According to their website, “Third-quarter revenues declined to $15.3 billion from $16.5 billion as labor strike and supplier production problems pushed airplane deliveries out of the quarter. EPS declined to $0.96 per share, reduced by an estimated $0.60 on the lower deliveries and by $0.08 due to tax adjustments. Backlog grew to a record $349 billion as near-term demand remains strong.” I remember hearing that for every day this strike went on, Boeing loses $100 million dollars in revenue. This strike has been going on since… well… for 46 days. You’d think that corporate would get a little sick of losing so much money a day. Yet, I think Boeing is doing the best they can in leveraging for the future. The big issue with the strike is job security; something that I would like to see Boeing comply with. EADS recently opened up a plant in China to produce A32X series aircraft. I would NOT like to see that happen to Boeing. Enough ranting… 

Let’s get into the good stuff. Boeing delivered 84 airplanes this quarter, which is 34 aircraft behind schedule. Their order backlog increased to $276 billion dollars worth; 149 orders were made for aircraft this quarter. Boeing currently has 625 aircraft year-to-date in the order books. BCA’s operating margins were cut in two, from 11.4% (Q3 2007) to 5.7%.  

The 787 has been moving along. Assembly of the 4th flight-test aircraft has begun. The aircraft has completed hydraulic testing and high pressurization testing. They have begun testing the landing gear and flight controls of the aircraft. The 747-8 has been moving along as well. Engineering of the 747-8 freighter variant is 95% complete, and production of the aircraft is expected to begin shortly. Boeing has said that they are currently facing some cost and schedule pressures for the 747-8, which is no surprise (IAM strike). 

Overall, I can’t say I’m shocked or surprised by some of these figures. It’s no doubt that the IAM strike and supplier issues have hurt Boeing. The sooner the IAM contracts are resolved, the sooner we’ll see Boeing back to tip-top shape. Unfortunately I think the company may be sending the image of an unreliable aircraft supplier, which I think Boeing’s CEO James McNerney is trying to fix. Multiple strikes within 5 years, for an OEM, may push some airlines to ‘the other side’ (AKA Airbus). Let’s hope this can be fixed soon. 

If you’d like to learn more about their other industries, such as Integrated Defense Systems, you can go here.

Image (Machinists picket outside the Everett production plant) : flickr.com

This Week in Airlines: Cheap Seats, Stock Gains, Enerjet.

This week, there have been a good number of articles written about airlines and their schedules, specifically how airlines are adapting them to make higher profits. WSJ’s The Middle Seat profiles Southwest Airlines, and their new scheduling system that adapts to customer demand. I don’t want to steal their thunder, but I do want to affirm that the cheap seats will be going away, at least on some carriers. 

For those of you in the investing business, I hope that you were smart to invest in airlines. As I’ve written in the past  (‘Is Oil a Proxy for Airline Stocks‘), airlines have an inverse relationship with oil. The tremendous drop in oil prices has boosted airline stocks. In less than two weeks, United Air Lines’ parent company UAL Corp. saw their shares increase nearly 50%. Other big gainers have been Delta, US Airways and Republic. As oil begins to fall, I think we’ll see the airline stocks increase. However, I must caution you by saying: they will not go up forever! 

Enerjet, a new carrier emerging from Canada, has been reported eying launch in 2009. The carrier, spawned by 4 former WestJet executives, says they are hopeful that their airline will succeed with the tumbling oil prices. The Calgary based company is expected to lease 2 Boeing 737-700 NGs, the same aircraft WestJet has the most of, for routes in and out of Alberta. Enerjet’s president, Tim Morgan, a co-founder of WestJet, reported that they’re eying potential routes that will not step on WestJet’s or Air Canada’s toes.

Image: flickr.com

Pilot Arrested at London-Heathrow.

A United Airlines pilot was arrested yesterday, following a breathalyzer test. The 44 year old first officer was over the legal alcohol level. London police said that the pilot was arrested inside the aircraft, as he prepared for a flight to San Francisco from London’s Terminal 1. A United Airlines spokesperson said that the pilot has been suspended from duties. The rule of thumb is no alcohol consumption within 24 hours prior to a flight. The FAA mandates that pilots do not drink within 8 hours of flying and they may not have a blood-alcohol level above 0.04% prior to a flight.

Sure, it happens. Should it happen? No. Pilots have a duty to be safe at all times. Prior to flights, pilots should be well rested and alcohol free. However, this is not always the case. Quite frankly, I’m surprised that United has not fired the pilot (at least they did not announce it.) A bit unrelated, but it reminds me of the Continental Airlines pilots that had to get re-trained for landing at the wrong airport. Hats off to the Brits, who stopped this guy with the breathalyzer. 

Correction: Fixed Continental Airlines story – Pilots were retrained.

Pilots were fired at Continental Airlines for landing a plane without the landing gear (non-emergency).

Image: flickr.com